26 Jun · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vana
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1439
FormWLWLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Blazek🌟Blazek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Vana
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H10-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)