26 Jun · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1482
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1523
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Kurylenko stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+41
H2H30-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.