26 Jun · 14:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1749
FormLWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lushchyk
SA
🇺🇦Serhii Aristarkhov
ELO 1649
FormLLLWW
61%
39%
🌟Aristarkhov covers set handicap as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Lushchyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+100
H2H36-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-25)