26 Jun · 11:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kryvenko
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kryvenko
ELO 1562
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kryvenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.