26 Jun · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1489
FormLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ponomarenko
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1425
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)