26 Jun · 14:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1535
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volkov
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolesnykov🌟Volkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+13
H2H11-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.