26 Jun · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇺🇦Karel Polak
ELO 1497
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Polak
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1415
FormWWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Polak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)