26 Jun · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1511
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mishchenko
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1503
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Mishchenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+8
H2H20-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.