26 Jun · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1489
FormLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1523
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Kurylenko stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.