26 Jun · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LK
🇺🇦Lukas Krutina
ELO 1451
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krutina
PM
🇺🇦Patrik Muller
ELO 1419
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Muller🌟Muller covers set handicap as underdog 76% (21)
Fair odds · Krutina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+32
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.