26 Jun · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hrekh
OH
🇺🇦Oleksandr Hordiichuk
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.