26 Jun · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1535
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1565
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+30
H2H11-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.