26 Jun · 11:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vana
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1504
FormWWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Vana goes over total as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Vana
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.