26 Jun · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1363
FormLWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pohorilyi
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+153
H2H26-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-12)