26 Jun · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1425
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1487
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+62
H2H40-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-28)