26 Jun · 11:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1612
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1629
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Nitchenko stays under total as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.