26 Jun · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1511
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1535
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Volkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+24
H2H40-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.