26 Jun · 09:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1583
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Seliuchenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Seliuchenko goes over total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Seliuchenko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)