26 Jun · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1690
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kohut
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1664
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kohut
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~82 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+26
H2H43-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.