26 Jun · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1612
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Seliuchenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Nitchenko stays under total as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Seliuchenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.