26 Jun · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1565
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+43
H2H19-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)