26 Jun · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1363
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kurliuk
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1452
FormLLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kurliuk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)