26 Jun · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1776
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Danyliuk
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1723
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Molochko
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~81 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H106-101
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (106-101)