26 Jun · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1690
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molochko
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1723
FormWWWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kohut🌟Molochko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (22)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~82 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+33
H2H65-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.