26 Jun · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1477
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
PM
🇺🇦Patrik Muller
ELO 1419
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Muller covers set handicap as underdog 76% (21)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+58
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)