26 Jun · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1516
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shchegelskyi
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1530
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.