26 Jun · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1489
FormLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ponomarenko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1482
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.