26 Jun · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Hrekh
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1451
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)