26 Jun · 14:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1581
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Balabei
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1723
FormWLWWL
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kushnirenko🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (61)
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
2-3
21%
0-3
20%
3-2
15%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H67-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (67-14)