26 Jun · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1516
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hordiichuk
OH
🇺🇦Oleksandr Hordiichuk
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Hordiichuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+12
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.