26 Jun · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1560
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1629
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
3-1
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)