26 Jun · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1511
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kryvenko
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kryvenko
ELO 1562
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Kovshun stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kryvenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
20%
3-2
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)