26 Jun · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1482
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Prylepa
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1425
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Prylepa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Prylepa
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+57
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)