26 Jun · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kryvenko
ELO 1562
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kryvenko
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1535
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kryvenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.