26 Jun · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FK
🇺🇦Filip Kubos
ELO 1463
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chadima
OC
🇺🇦Ondrej Chadima
ELO 1467
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chadima🌟Chadima rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Chadima
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+4
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.