26 Jun · 13:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bilobrov
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kovshun
ELO 1511
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Bilobrov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Bilobrov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+9
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.