26 Jun · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pohorilyi
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1452
FormLLWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)