26 Jun · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Loboda
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1564
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
14%
Elo Gap+27
H2H29-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.