26 Jun · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1530
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Shchegelskyi
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Krokhmal
ELO 1451
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)