26 Jun · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kryvenko
ELO 1562
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kryvenko
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolesnykov🌟Kolesnykov covers set handicap as underdog 77% (22)
Fair odds · Kryvenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+40
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.