26 Jun · 11:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1560
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Seliuchenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Seliuchenko goes over total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Seliuchenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
20%
0-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)