26 Jun · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1723
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Molochko
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1664
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Verbyany🌟Molochko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (22)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+59
H2H97-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (97-48)