26 Jun · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hrekh
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1516
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hrekh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
19%
2-3
18%
1-3
18%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.