26 Jun · 07:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1776
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Danyliuk
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1664
FormLLLWW
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Verbyany
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H115-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (115-50)