26 Jun · 06:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1489
FormLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ponomarenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1487
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
3-2
19%
2-3
19%
1-3
19%
3-0
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.