26 Jun · 10:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pohorilyi
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1407
FormLWLWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
20%
3-0
18%
2-3
16%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)