26 Jun · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1490
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plakushchyi
PP
🇺🇦Pavel Plakushchyi
ELO 1506
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Plakushchyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 33%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
18%
3-1
18%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.