26 Jun · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolesnykov
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 31%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+2
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.