26 Jun · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1482
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1487
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 32%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
2-3
19%
3-2
19%
3-1
19%
0-3
13%
Elo Gap+5
H2H19-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.