26 Jun · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1567
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Seliuchenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1649
FormWWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Derevianko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Seliuchenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
20%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H19-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-10)